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香港賓館 Good luck of industry of four quarters travel is more than a risk: In ” history on the longest ” 11 golden weeks are driven, home swims will greet concentration to erupt. Although winter armour sheds the 2nd large-scale erupt, the influence of annual of processional to brigade course of study also will finite, and if share price issues defeat to also will become good intervening chance. From the point of longer time, growth gap of two years will be in travel industry by a definite date get redeeming after 2010, travel industry will obtain revengeful sex to rebound again.
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This year ” 11 ” holiday travel economy obtains bigger bumper harvest is big probability incident: Stand or fall of long false data will be opposite National Day it is important that annual travel industry adds fast generation this year influence, also be the crucial index of latent capacity of demand of industry of observation China travel, and armour H1N1 flu will still be future the crucial variable that economy of travel of period of time runs. But found a state 60 years Daqing shortly, the branch won’t issue travel caution announcement easily related the government, “11 ” before probability of out of control of flu epidemic situation is very small also.
“11 ” the golden week drives action to domestic travel market remarkable: 1999-2008 10 years year, “11 ” the compound increase rate of number of golden week go on a journey is 20.32 ％ , the compound increase rate of travel income is 18.90% . Although the time in annual occupies the golden week to be less than 2 ％ than having only, but during the proportion that person-time of go on a journey holds total person-time of annual go on a journey already amounted to 10 ％ above, travel income occupies annual proportion to already amounted to 9 ％ above. The foundation increases 1 day to go up in holiday, authoritative research organization is hopeful anticipate 2009 ” 11 ” number of travel of golden week home will exceed 200 million person-time, grow 13% compared to the same period; Travel of average per capita consumes 500 yuan or so, grow 12 ％ compared to the same period; Travel income hopeful exceeds 100 billion yuan of RMBs, grow 25 ％ compared to the same period.
“11 ” division of golden week scene is benefited most, also be benefit to hotel and travel agent good: Look from us to the not complete count of area of a few well-known view, “11 ” the tourist number of the golden week and entrance ticket income occupy annual proportion to be controlled in 10 ％ , this and whole nation ” 11 ” the tourist number of the golden week and travel income occupy annual proportion to agree basically. And between long holiday, far road travels in home and leave the country swim to will increase substantially, the tourist also will increase to the consumptive trend of hotel and travel agent. From the point of historical experience, “11 ” the hotel is entered during the golden week lead general apparent promotion, and the far road of travel agent and leave the country wander passenger volume also appears ” blowout ” prices.
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